Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 23.372912 27.985965 33.047202 38.983286 45.724532 53.112128 61.789200
2025-08-10 16.112856 22.037245 29.197044 38.359289 49.636302 62.923599 79.613516
2025-08-17 12.368882 18.823342 27.236044 38.727052 53.712445 72.279042 96.675290
2025-08-24 9.699719 16.259640 25.400723 38.601420 56.660223 79.958642 111.677657
2025-08-31 7.437895 13.727365 23.080554 37.315153 57.661827 84.881092 123.111267
2025-09-07 6.220876 12.488614 22.343035 38.009241 61.214185 93.165895 139.151662
2025-09-14 4.954336 10.887040 20.777760 37.220843 62.462292 98.220591 150.919949
2025-09-21 4.261293 10.127255 20.405886 38.138784 66.161389 106.772179 167.753853
2025-09-28 3.279328 8.600434 18.513599 36.393669 65.630171 109.131242 175.868696
2025-10-05 2.907338 8.203467 18.519723 37.723827 69.881965 118.605062 194.452465
2025-10-12 2.537454 7.724774 18.298796 38.614075 73.440123 127.144824 211.933177
2025-10-19 2.219935 7.288500 18.089134 39.476633 76.961288 135.726140 229.721761
2025-10-26 1.906602 6.823151 17.832661 40.368113 80.820171 145.363325 250.038805
2025-11-02 1.517982 6.051720 16.838935 39.810955 82.221384 151.286526 265.091989
2025-11-09 1.266194 5.570000 16.377109 40.195621 85.235380 159.857092 284.464142
2025-11-16 1.027756 5.037018 15.701945 40.066698 87.290246 166.914659 301.672438
2025-11-23 0.775785 4.344181 14.514096 38.742200 87.048381 170.133207 312.883650
2025-11-30 0.658014 4.074518 14.315942 39.456972 90.592186 179.769122 334.591929
2025-12-07 0.505965 3.588577 13.461012 38.645075 91.172347 184.375561 348.294342
2025-12-14 0.434869 3.410290 13.402778 39.590366 95.170896 194.969844 372.042900
2025-12-21 0.307370 2.873480 12.210331 37.793130 93.648737 195.874868 379.825371
2025-12-28 0.271856 2.793375 12.357729 39.163063 98.523481 208.198338 406.926745
2026-01-04 0.232288 2.662325 12.321583 40.079761 102.514093 219.066226 431.852906